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CMU-CS-05-115
Computer Science Department
School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University
CMU-CS-05-115
Detecting Space-Time Clusters:
Prior Work and New Directions
Daniel B. Neill, Andrew W. Moore
February 2005
CMU-CS-05-115.ps
CMU-CS-05-115.pdf
Keywords: algorithms, biosurveillance, cluster detection, space-time
scan statistics
The problem of space-time cluster detection arises in a variety of
applications, including disease surveillance and brain imaging. In this
work, we briefly review the state of the art in space-time cluster
detection, focusing on space-time scan statistics, and we derive a number
of new statistics. First, we distinguish between tests for clusters with
higher disease rates inside the cluster than outside (as in the
traditional spatial scan statistics framework) and tests for clusters with
higher counts than expected (as is appropriate when inferring the
expected counts in a region from the time series of past counts). Second,
we distinguish between tests for "persistent" clusters (where the disease
rate remains constant throughout the duration of a cluster) and tests for
"emerging" clusters (where the disease rate increases monotonically
through the duration of a cluster). These new statistics for
spatio-temporal cluster detection will serve as the basis for our future
work in detection of emerging space-time clusters.
17 pages
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